Regardless of a Blue Wave, Here Comes the Green Wave!

  Our inaugural “GeenWave Report” (2014) indicates, “The overall growth in the U.S. legal marijuana industry is substantial and will be fueled by the implementation of additional legalized markets across the country as momentum continues in favor of changes to existing federal laws.” The results of this year’s election further substantiates this assertion. As expected, ballot measures legalizing the recreational …

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Colorado Cannabis Sales Remain Resilient in September as the Shift from “Consumer” to “Patient “Continues

The state of Colorado’s marijuana tax revenues for September implies total monthly sales of $223.9M (+2% MoM; 44% YoY) with medical marijuana revenues at $46.2M (+10% MoM; 58% YoY) and recreational use ~$177.2M (+1%MoM; 47%YoY). We estimate that the average cardholder spend in the month ticked up to ~$548 from ~$502 in Aug ($348 Sept’19). The number of cardholders at …

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Buying Low and Selling High in Colorado: August Cannabis Purchasing Trends Continue to Suggest Shift from “Consumer” to “Patient”

  The state of Colorado released its marijuana tax revenues for August which implies total monthly sales of $228.9 (+11% MoM; 33% YoY) with medical marijuana revenues at $43.6M (+3% MoM; 41% YoY) and recreational use ~$185.3M (+13%MoM; 31%YoY). We estimate that the average cardholder spend in the month ticked up to ~$520 from ~$510 in July ($355 Aug’19). The …

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THE STATE OF COLORADO: CANNABIS PURCHASING TRENDS SUGGEST A SWITCH FROM “CONSUMER” TO “PATIENT” AS DISPOSABLE INCOME LEVELS LESSEN DURING COVID-19 PANDEMIC

The state of Colorado released its marijuana tax revenues for July which implies total monthly sales of $206.7M (+ 7% MoM; 20% YoY) with medical marijuana revenues at $42.4M (+4% MoM; 42% YoY) and recreational use ~$164.2M (+8% MoM; 16%YoY). We estimate that the average cardholder spend in the month ticked up to ~$510 from ~$490 in June ($338 July …

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Clearing the Smoke: Is it Practical For a New State to Legalize Cannabis?

The complexities of the U.S. cannabis industry have been exacerbated by the consequences of states operating within the confines of closed economies defined by their own interpretations of legitimacy under the shadow of existing federal laws. These variations of standards from one state to another carry inherent uncertainties for businesses and investors with respect to how the industry will operate …

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PROHIBITION IS EXPENSIVE: SIT OR GET OFF THE “POT”

Many cannabis businesses are struggling, though not all the blame resides in faulty management decisions. In this edition of “The GreenWave Buzz,” we highlight the added costs of federal prohibition and discuss other risk factors that may cause near term volatility for both public and private valuations, giving particular attention to the tax burden associated with Section 280E of the IRS code.

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A Little More Country, But Getting Ready to Rock and Roll

The continuing trend of individual state approvals of cannabis use along with the recent end of prohibition in Canada have sparked a heightened level of interest in the U.S. Cannabis industry among a larger and more sophisticated pool of investors. This interest has been further inspired by the U.S. Federal Government’s continued reluctance to aggressively interfere with individual state permissions despite early on threats by the Trump Administration’s Department of Justice led by the recently dismissed Attorney General Jeff Sessions. We continue to believe that the rescission of federal cannabis prohibitions is inevitable, the question is when. Given the confluence of reform measures at both the state and federal levels we are optimistic that a first step for meaningful change to federal policy could come as early as next year with the passage of The STATES Act (a bipartisan bill providing state protections under the Tenth Amendment).

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