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U.S. Cannabis: A Reset Looming
With the progression of individual state regulated markets, entrepreneurs, investors and other industry participants have remained intoxicated by the prospects for federal cannabis reform. These interests have been further inspired by the U.S. Federal Government’s...
WEEDING OUT THE ILLICIT MARKET (UPDATE)
Arguably, one of the greatest challenges confronting the U.S. cannabis industry is the continued pressure from a thriving illicit market. Consequently, same-store top line increases have generally been insignificant and near- term consensus revenue growth projections...
A Comparative Look at Valuation
Cannabis stocks have advanced sharply since August 29th when the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services announced its recommendation to remove cannabis from a Schedule 1 narcotic to Schedule III. The precise timing of the Drug Enforcement Agency ruling...
RE-SCHEDULING MARKS A NEW DAY FOR NET OPERATING LOSS (NOL) CARRYFORWARDS
Section 280E of the Internal Revenue Code disallows businesses from deducting otherwise ordinary business expenses from gross income associated with the “trafficking” of Schedule I or II substances, as defined by the Controlled Substances Act. Once moved to Schedule...
Distribution Mayhem In California: Who’s Left Holding the “Bag”?
Herbl, one of California’s largest licensed cannabis distributors is in receivership. Last year it served ~1K retailers and accounted for ~18% (~$700M) of the state’s $3.8B retail sales amount. Other licensees could be at or near a similar breaking point. California...
ONE STEP FORWARD ON THE ROAD TO FEDERAL REFORM
The announcement last week by the department of Health and Human Services (HHS) that it is now recommending the rescheduling of cannabis from schedule I to III, marks a significant inflection point for federal cannabis reform. The timing of the Drug Enforcement Agency...
STIRRING THE POT IN CALIFORNIA: CANNABIS SALES OVERSTATED BY $6 BILLION (2018-2022)
Beginning in Q1:23, California cannabis excise tax reporting shifted from distributor to retailer. With this change, the state provides an added layer of transparency in reporting cannabis sales. Our analysis reveals that prior period revenues (2018-2022) are...
The GreenWave Buzz – May 3, 2023
The long-term prospects for industry growth remain compelling as more states legalize cannabis. Near-term fundamentals are hampered by a thriving illicit market, lack of law enforcement, price compression and added costs associated with prohibition most notably, the...
Terrascend Sets In Motion Up-listing to the Toronto Stock Exchange
TERRASCEND SETS IN MOTION UP-LISTING TO THE TORONTO STOCK EXCHANGE Last week, Terrascend announced that it filed an application to list its shares on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX). The company indicates that in order to qualify for listing, it will need to...
Recent Headlines, Commentary and Upcoming Catalysts – 9/9/2022
Q2 Earnings Season Recap Generally speaking, the larger MSOs continue to execute, while it’s becoming increasingly more challenging for the smaller players to scale and generate cash flows needed to support current operations. Q2 revenues were in line with our...
Q2 Earnings Season Commentary – 9/1/2022
Summary Generally speaking, the larger MSOs continue to execute, while its becoming more of a struggle for the smaller players to scale and generate cash flows needed to support current operations. Q2 revenues came in as expected – minimal sequential growth, but...
Colorado Market Declining and Takes Another Big Hit in Q2 – 4th Consecutive Quarter with Negative Comps
For the fourth consecutive quarter, The Colorado Department of Revenues posted negative comps both QoQ and YoY. For the six months ending June 30th, sales have fallen 21% to $906M mostly driven by a precipitous drop in Medical Marijuana (-46% ) due to new...
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Who We Are And Why Are We Different
The firm was founded in March, 2014 by Matt Karnes, noted as one of the first to bring a professional pedigree to the emerging and complex cannabis industry. His tenure includes: Sellside Equity Research (Bear Stearns (JPMorgan), SG Cowen (Cowen), First Union Securities (Wells Fargo), Buyside Equity Analyst (L/S Equity Hedge Fund), Big 4 Public Accounting (PwC, Deloitte), Fortune 50 (Texaco Inc, Chase Bank). This wide range of experience establishes the firm's unique positioning as a trusted source readily able to connect the dots, read between the lines and ask the difficult and sometimes probing questions.
What We Do
We provide:
- Independent Financial Research and Analysis
- Buyside& Sellside Financial Analysis and Due Diligence
- Fund Manager and Direct Investment Due Diligence
- Valuation Services
- Cap Intro Advisory
To learn more, contact us at info@greenwaveadvisors.com
Our clients include:
- Institutional Investors
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- Mutual Funds
- Hedge Funds
- Private Equity
- Venture Capital
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- Family Offices
- High Net Worth Individuals
- Investment Banks (Equity Research)
- Cannabis License Applicants
- Cannabis Start Ups
The GreenWave Buzz – our proprietary analysis and commentary on what’s relevant in the cannabis space
Matthew A. Karnes, CPA
Founder
Matthew (Matt) Karnes has over 25 years of diverse finance and accounting experience. Prior to founding GreenWave Advisors LLC, Matt worked in equity research focusing on the Radio Broadcasting and Cable Television industries for First Union Securities. Matt also covered Satellite Communication at SG Cowen and in addition, worked with the top ranked Consumer Internet analyst at Bear Stearns & Co – this team was consistently recognized by the Institutional Investor’s “All America Research Team”. As a sellside equity analyst, Matt authored and co-authored numerous emerging industry research reports including such names as Google, Sirius, XM Satellite Radio, DIRECTV and EchoStar Communications.